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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University-0.62+8.99vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.81+1.99vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+0.65vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.95+3.48vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14-1.59vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+0.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49-4.26vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.16+0.74vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.51-4.61vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.60-3.81vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-0.91-0.57vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.05-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.99Boston University-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.99Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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3.65Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University0.950.0%1st Place
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3.41Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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2.74Tufts University3.490.3%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
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4.39Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.43Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.61Bentley University-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Ziobro | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 22.2% | 26.3% | 21.4% |
| Charles Welsh | 12.9% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 16.5% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pere Puig | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 21.5% | 19.5% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Jackson McCoy | 19.9% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 30.1% | 23.3% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Peraire-Bueno | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 24.1% | 21.9% | 13.9% | 5.4% |
| Alex Moreno | 8.8% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 21.7% | 16.6% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 20.1% | 27.5% | 32.7% |
| Laura Schlenker | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 26.8% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.