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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+2.38vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+4.55vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81+1.09vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.62+6.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.97-1.20vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.60+0.44vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49-4.10vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51-3.38vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.16-0.13vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.81-3.99vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-1.05-0.32vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-0.91-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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4.09Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.14Boston University-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.8Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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2.9Tufts University3.490.3%1st Place
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4.62Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
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6.01Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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10.68Bentley University-1.050.0%1st Place
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10.53Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 18.7% | 19.3% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 22.3% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charles Welsh | 13.8% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ziobro | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 14.1% | 24.4% | 27.3% | 21.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 14.1% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Croteau | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 20.6% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 26.3% | 23.8% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Peraire-Bueno | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 27.6% | 25.3% | 13.0% | 4.4% |
| Pierre DuPont | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Laura Schlenker | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 28.4% | 39.7% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 8.6% | 19.7% | 28.8% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.