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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.38+7.03vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.36+1.06vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.30+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.67-1.41vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.09+4.04vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.03+0.32vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.24-1.24vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-0.22-1.13vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.31-1.84vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota-0.55-2.37vs Predicted
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11Washington University-0.76-2.84vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.83-1.18vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.55-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03Northwestern University-0.382.8%1st Place
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3.06University of Michigan1.3624.7%1st Place
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5.43University of Wisconsin0.307.3%1st Place
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2.59University of Wisconsin1.6732.9%1st Place
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9.04Marquette University-1.091.6%1st Place
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6.32University of Saint Thomas-0.035.3%1st Place
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5.76Texas A&M University0.246.7%1st Place
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6.87Unknown School-0.224.3%1st Place
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7.16Hope College-0.315.3%1st Place
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7.63University of Minnesota-0.554.0%1st Place
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8.16Washington University-0.763.0%1st Place
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10.82Grand Valley State University-1.831.1%1st Place
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10.12Arizona State University-1.550.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Graham Rebain | 24.7% | 22.9% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Harms | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| William Styslinger | 32.9% | 23.8% | 17.8% | 13.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Karle | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 11.7% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Kate Hennig | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Casey Dietsch | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Isaac Sparber | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Alexandra Adams | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 5.9% |
| Lucy Herlein | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 40.8% |
| Mason Norwood | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 20.5% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.