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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida4.10+5.31vs Predicted
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2Washington College4.25+3.92vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56+5.42vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.45vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.92+2.08vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.64+2.19vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.33-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+2.66vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.54-0.58vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.14+3.01vs Predicted
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11University of Texas2.50+0.85vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.14-2.17vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy4.34-7.41vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin4.10-7.67vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.92-8.92vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College3.24-7.36vs Predicted
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18Clemson University2.34-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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5.92Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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6.45SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.08Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.19College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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5.81Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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8.42Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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13.01Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Rhode Island3.140.0%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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7.08Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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9.64Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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12.48Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Hall | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Raff | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 33.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Baittinger | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 23.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.