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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University0.09+1.53vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.20+0.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.71+0.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-1.79+0.77vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.49-0.47vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-0.67-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Columbia University0.0928.5%1st Place
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2.28SUNY Maritime College0.2033.6%1st Place
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3.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.7112.4%1st Place
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4.77U. S. Military Academy-1.794.3%1st Place
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4.53SUNY Stony Brook-1.495.4%1st Place
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3.31Hamilton College-0.6715.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 28.5% | 24.9% | 22.4% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Embry | 33.6% | 28.2% | 21.0% | 11.5% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 12.4% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 22.8% | 21.4% | 11.2% |
| Justin McDaniel | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 21.7% | 44.9% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 28.0% | 33.6% |
| Teddy Jiganti | 15.7% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.