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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.91vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+3.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+6.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+2.93vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.55-0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.48+5.21vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.13+2.06vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71-0.98vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.39vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10-2.68vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-0.13+1.63vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.45vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.15-5.20vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.22-6.27vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.66vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.22-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Roger Williams University1.978.5%1st Place
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5.83Boston College2.0910.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.8%1st Place
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6.93Brown University1.998.3%1st Place
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4.45Yale University2.5518.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College1.135.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College1.718.2%1st Place
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8.29Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Rhode Island0.993.7%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University2.105.9%1st Place
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13.63Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.5%1st Place
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8.8Tufts University1.154.8%1st Place
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8.73Northeastern University1.224.2%1st Place
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12.34Maine Maritime Academy0.152.1%1st Place
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15.43Middlebury College-1.220.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.1% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| bella casaretto | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 25.9% | 19.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 9.8% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 15.2% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.