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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+5.79vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.51+2.77vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81+1.17vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.14-0.46vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.81+1.22vs Predicted
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6Boston University-0.62+4.43vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.60-0.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49-5.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97-5.28vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.16-0.78vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University0.58-2.31vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-1.05-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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4.77Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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4.17Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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3.54Tufts University3.140.2%1st Place
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6.22Tufts University1.810.0%1st Place
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10.43Boston University-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.58Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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2.94Tufts University3.490.3%1st Place
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3.72Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.160.0%1st Place
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8.69Brandeis University0.580.0%1st Place
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10.94Bentley University-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Caso | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Alex Moreno | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 13.7% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 17.9% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Ziobro | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 16.1% | 30.4% | 33.8% |
| Emily Croteau | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| John Rolander | 27.7% | 22.0% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 15.9% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Peraire-Bueno | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 17.3% | 25.6% | 23.3% | 8.4% |
| Kahlil Oppenheimer | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 22.3% | 23.9% | 15.7% | 4.1% |
| Laura Schlenker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 22.4% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.