Race 1A

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Laura Wefer 37.9% 26.8% 14.1% 10.2% 6.0% 3.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Cyr 11.2% 11.9% 18.4% 15.3% 14.0% 14.1% 7.7% 6.2% 0.8% 0.4%
Nathan Ross 15.8% 18.2% 16.5% 16.0% 15.6% 9.5% 5.5% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Jacob Bruce 4.7% 8.3% 9.4% 11.7% 13.7% 15.4% 16.7% 12.1% 7.1% 0.9%
Alison Kent 14.8% 16.6% 16.8% 17.6% 14.7% 8.6% 6.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Ian Schappe 7.2% 7.9% 8.5% 10.3% 13.6% 15.3% 16.3% 13.4% 6.6% 0.9%
Ryan Clulo 4.3% 5.2% 9.4% 10.6% 11.3% 15.1% 19.0% 15.2% 8.3% 1.6%
Kevin Kinneally 2.2% 2.8% 4.2% 4.2% 6.7% 9.3% 13.6% 22.3% 23.6% 11.1%
Maximilian Franze-Soeln 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 2.6% 3.4% 5.6% 8.8% 17.7% 31.6% 25.2%
Stephane Vinet 0.6% 0.8% 0.4% 1.5% 1.0% 4.1% 3.7% 7.9% 20.2% 59.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.