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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.13+1.83vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.27+1.50vs Predicted
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5Washington University2.25-1.42vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.93-1.88vs Predicted
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7Lake Forest College1.28-1.60vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.27+0.19vs Predicted
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9Marquette University1.11-3.33vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.05-0.93vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame0.29-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
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3.83University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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5.5Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.58Washington University2.250.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Michigan1.930.1%1st Place
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5.4Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Iowa-0.270.0%1st Place
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5.67Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Notre Dame0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 37.5% | 25.9% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alison Kent | 13.4% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Ross | 14.6% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cyr | 12.7% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ian Schappe | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 17.3% | 33.4% | 24.8% |
| Ryan Clulo | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Stephane Vinet | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 19.4% | 60.4% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 24.7% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.