Race 3A

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Ross 17.8% 16.6% 17.2% 14.4% 12.0% 10.3% 5.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Laura Wefer 35.0% 23.5% 18.1% 12.5% 6.4% 2.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Cyr 10.9% 13.4% 12.1% 13.6% 16.6% 13.2% 10.3% 7.1% 2.7% 0.1%
Patrick Power 5.3% 7.4% 10.7% 10.4% 12.1% 16.1% 14.4% 15.8% 6.6% 1.2%
Ryan Clulo 5.7% 6.9% 6.8% 8.1% 9.7% 12.6% 17.0% 19.0% 11.6% 2.6%
Ian Schappe 7.2% 6.8% 8.4% 9.4% 12.3% 13.8% 15.9% 15.4% 8.9% 1.9%
Alison Kent 11.1% 16.3% 15.0% 19.3% 12.9% 12.3% 7.0% 5.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Maximilian Franze-Soeln 1.0% 1.5% 2.7% 1.6% 3.4% 4.9% 8.1% 11.4% 37.8% 27.6%
Stephane Vinet 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 3.5% 4.4% 20.7% 64.7%
Jacob Bruce 5.4% 6.9% 8.5% 9.1% 13.0% 12.6% 16.1% 17.4% 9.6% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.