Race 4A

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Laura Wefer 36.0% 26.6% 14.1% 9.9% 7.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Ross 15.1% 17.0% 18.4% 14.7% 12.6% 10.8% 6.4% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Alison Kent 13.9% 12.6% 16.4% 16.2% 14.6% 11.5% 9.0% 4.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Christopher Cyr 9.7% 13.7% 14.7% 15.5% 15.0% 12.6% 9.6% 6.8% 2.1% 0.3%
Ian Schappe 6.3% 8.5% 8.2% 7.9% 11.2% 15.5% 17.6% 15.0% 7.9% 1.9%
Jacob Bruce 6.6% 6.9% 8.5% 9.2% 13.0% 13.1% 14.9% 17.1% 8.3% 2.4%
Maximilian Franze-Soeln 1.4% 0.5% 1.5% 2.9% 2.7% 4.2% 7.1% 11.9% 40.2% 27.6%
Ryan Clulo 4.6% 4.9% 9.1% 9.4% 11.0% 13.5% 15.1% 20.0% 10.3% 2.1%
Patrick Power 6.0% 8.5% 8.8% 13.0% 10.8% 12.6% 16.2% 14.3% 8.2% 1.6%
Stephane Vinet 0.4% 0.8% 0.3% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 2.2% 6.0% 20.3% 64.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.