Race 5A

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alison Kent 15.0% 16.8% 15.9% 14.0% 12.7% 10.8% 7.5% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Laura Wefer 35.5% 24.0% 17.1% 12.2% 6.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Ross 15.1% 15.8% 17.1% 15.6% 14.2% 10.9% 6.4% 4.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Jacob Bruce 4.9% 6.5% 9.1% 10.8% 11.1% 15.3% 15.4% 16.7% 8.8% 1.4%
Patrick Power 7.2% 8.3% 8.5% 10.0% 11.4% 15.8% 16.6% 13.1% 7.1% 2.0%
Ryan Clulo 6.2% 6.1% 6.6% 7.9% 12.0% 12.9% 15.8% 16.9% 13.5% 2.1%
Ian Schappe 4.7% 6.3% 8.6% 10.8% 12.7% 13.8% 14.7% 18.2% 8.6% 1.6%
Maximilian Franze-Soeln 1.1% 1.3% 2.6% 1.8% 3.7% 4.4% 7.5% 12.8% 36.6% 28.2%
Stephane Vinet 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 2.2% 3.3% 5.1% 20.8% 63.9%
Christopher Cyr 9.8% 14.2% 13.7% 15.9% 13.9% 11.0% 11.5% 7.4% 2.1% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.