Race 6A

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alison Kent 14.7% 15.9% 16.7% 15.7% 10.5% 12.1% 7.1% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2%
Laura Wefer 35.0% 23.1% 19.2% 12.1% 6.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Ross 14.6% 16.9% 15.6% 15.2% 15.0% 10.3% 8.2% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Christopher Cyr 10.2% 13.5% 14.4% 15.3% 15.0% 11.5% 11.1% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5%
Ian Schappe 6.6% 8.2% 7.1% 9.6% 10.6% 14.6% 16.3% 16.7% 8.3% 2.0%
Jacob Bruce 7.1% 6.3% 8.1% 9.0% 12.8% 13.5% 14.7% 16.9% 10.2% 1.4%
Ryan Clulo 3.7% 5.7% 7.6% 9.8% 10.8% 13.8% 16.2% 17.5% 12.3% 2.6%
Maximilian Franze-Soeln 1.3% 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 4.2% 4.1% 7.1% 12.7% 38.0% 27.1%
Patrick Power 6.2% 8.4% 8.6% 10.6% 13.3% 14.4% 14.7% 14.2% 7.6% 2.0%
Stephane Vinet 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.8% 3.1% 2.9% 6.3% 19.2% 64.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.