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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.37+4.40vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04-0.53vs Predicted
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4Lake Forest College1.28+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.13-1.02vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.27-0.34vs Predicted
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7Washington University2.25-3.28vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.84-3.47vs Predicted
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9Marquette University1.11-3.05vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.05-0.79vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-0.27-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4University of Notre Dame1.370.1%1st Place
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2.47University of Wisconsin3.040.3%1st Place
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5.77Lake Forest College1.280.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Minnesota2.130.1%1st Place
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5.66Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.72Washington University2.250.2%1st Place
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4.53University of Michigan1.840.1%1st Place
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5.95Marquette University1.110.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Iowa-0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Power | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 34.6% | 24.9% | 17.2% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Schappe | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 8.8% | 1.7% |
| Alison Kent | 12.8% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 9.0% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Ross | 16.7% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mason Wolters | 8.9% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Clulo | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.7% |
| Stephane Vinet | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 19.1% | 65.0% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 39.5% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.