Race 8A

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Laura Wefer 35.9% 26.8% 14.9% 9.5% 6.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Mason Wolters 10.5% 9.7% 14.7% 16.1% 12.8% 15.1% 9.6% 7.5% 3.6% 0.4%
Nathan Ross 15.5% 16.3% 16.3% 15.5% 15.1% 9.9% 7.7% 3.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Patrick Power 5.1% 8.3% 9.1% 12.1% 12.2% 15.7% 16.0% 12.7% 7.5% 1.3%
Alison Kent 14.3% 15.3% 17.0% 14.7% 15.0% 9.8% 7.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.1%
Ian Schappe 6.7% 7.9% 8.4% 9.0% 12.6% 12.7% 15.1% 17.4% 8.3% 1.9%
Maximilian Franze-Soeln 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 5.7% 6.0% 12.7% 40.4% 26.9%
Ryan Clulo 4.7% 5.6% 9.5% 8.1% 11.9% 12.3% 16.5% 19.4% 9.7% 2.3%
Jacob Bruce 5.9% 8.1% 7.9% 11.4% 10.3% 12.8% 16.3% 16.0% 9.4% 1.9%
Stephane Vinet 0.4% 1.0% 0.3% 1.3% 1.4% 2.4% 3.3% 6.0% 18.8% 65.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.