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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+7.93vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.15+6.91vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.99+3.88vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.41vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+2.12vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.48+5.25vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-1.14vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97-1.05vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.55-4.66vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-1.70vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.10-2.70vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.13-2.97vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-3.22vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.13-0.32vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.99-5.54vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.67vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.22-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.93Northeastern University1.224.7%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University1.154.4%1st Place
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6.88Brown University1.997.2%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.2%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College1.716.9%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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5.86Boston College2.0911.2%1st Place
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6.95Roger Williams University1.978.9%1st Place
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4.34Yale University2.5518.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University1.145.7%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University2.105.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College1.134.2%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.5%1st Place
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13.68Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island0.993.5%1st Place
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12.33Maine Maritime Academy0.152.1%1st Place
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15.46Middlebury College-1.220.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 4.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.1% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 26.9% | 19.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Jane Marvin | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 9.3% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 15.0% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.