Race 1B

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eric Villadsen 9.5% 10.5% 11.0% 14.2% 12.4% 15.2% 14.3% 9.0% 3.3% 0.6%
Charles Bocklet 30.7% 23.8% 17.4% 12.7% 8.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Etheridge 23.4% 22.9% 17.6% 14.1% 11.9% 6.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Theodore Cohen 6.2% 8.6% 10.8% 12.2% 14.5% 17.2% 14.1% 10.3% 5.0% 1.1%
Noah Rosenthal 12.6% 13.4% 17.2% 15.1% 16.1% 11.2% 8.6% 3.6% 1.9% 0.3%
Mason Chrabaszcz 10.1% 10.4% 10.5% 13.4% 14.4% 15.0% 12.4% 9.8% 3.1% 0.9%
Michael Maas-Hull 3.6% 6.5% 8.0% 9.0% 11.8% 15.2% 18.5% 15.9% 8.8% 2.7%
Lucas Kieffer 1.1% 1.5% 2.4% 3.3% 4.3% 5.3% 8.9% 16.4% 28.3% 28.5%
Charles Koules 1.8% 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 3.7% 5.5% 10.9% 19.7% 24.9% 25.7%
David Millstein 1.0% 0.9% 2.0% 2.8% 2.4% 4.9% 7.7% 13.5% 24.6% 40.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.