Race 2B

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Etheridge 25.0% 23.7% 16.8% 12.7% 10.9% 5.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Charles Bocklet 29.8% 24.2% 18.3% 13.5% 8.1% 3.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Villadsen 9.0% 8.4% 11.1% 13.4% 13.1% 18.4% 14.8% 7.8% 3.4% 0.6%
Noah Rosenthal 11.3% 15.8% 15.4% 17.0% 14.6% 12.0% 8.8% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Mason Chrabaszcz 9.2% 9.0% 12.8% 13.3% 15.1% 14.3% 13.7% 8.6% 3.3% 0.7%
Michael Maas-Hull 6.3% 6.0% 7.1% 8.9% 11.9% 14.6% 16.3% 16.8% 9.8% 2.3%
Theodore Cohen 5.8% 8.1% 12.2% 12.3% 14.9% 15.2% 15.2% 10.9% 4.1% 1.3%
Lucas Kieffer 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 6.3% 9.1% 17.1% 26.6% 29.2%
David Millstein 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 2.3% 3.2% 3.9% 7.3% 14.9% 23.9% 40.6%
Charles Koules 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 3.6% 4.9% 6.4% 9.1% 18.2% 27.3% 25.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.