Race 3B

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kate Klement 37.0% 25.2% 16.9% 9.9% 5.9% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Etheridge 21.0% 23.6% 18.4% 16.1% 9.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Rosenthal 11.6% 12.2% 16.8% 14.8% 15.6% 14.2% 9.1% 4.0% 1.6% 0.1%
Mason Chrabaszcz 6.3% 10.4% 12.1% 15.2% 14.5% 14.2% 14.6% 7.8% 4.3% 0.6%
Eric Villadsen 8.7% 10.0% 11.0% 13.9% 14.9% 17.0% 12.2% 8.5% 3.0% 0.8%
Michael Maas-Hull 6.2% 5.9% 7.8% 8.7% 12.2% 14.1% 16.2% 17.4% 8.9% 2.6%
Theodore Cohen 5.8% 8.2% 10.0% 13.3% 14.6% 15.8% 15.7% 11.4% 3.9% 1.3%
David Millstein 0.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 4.7% 7.7% 14.4% 25.1% 37.8%
Charles Koules 1.5% 1.7% 2.7% 2.4% 4.7% 5.1% 10.9% 20.0% 26.0% 25.0%
Lucas Kieffer 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.9% 9.3% 14.9% 27.0% 31.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.