Race 4B

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eric Villadsen 9.0% 9.8% 11.3% 14.4% 13.6% 15.1% 14.5% 7.5% 3.8% 1.0%
Thomas Etheridge 21.1% 22.7% 18.6% 14.9% 11.7% 6.0% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kate Klement 35.3% 25.7% 17.7% 11.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Rosenthal 11.3% 14.4% 15.9% 16.5% 14.7% 12.8% 9.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Mason Chrabaszcz 8.2% 10.4% 10.3% 12.6% 16.2% 16.6% 12.7% 8.4% 3.8% 0.8%
Theodore Cohen 8.5% 6.7% 11.6% 10.9% 15.4% 14.3% 14.0% 13.2% 4.2% 1.2%
Michael Maas-Hull 3.0% 6.1% 8.5% 9.6% 11.9% 14.8% 18.7% 15.7% 9.5% 2.2%
Charles Koules 1.2% 1.9% 2.8% 3.8% 3.7% 7.1% 10.4% 19.6% 26.0% 23.5%
David Millstein 1.2% 0.9% 2.0% 1.7% 3.4% 4.5% 7.4% 13.5% 25.4% 40.0%
Lucas Kieffer 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 3.7% 3.6% 6.3% 8.4% 16.9% 26.0% 31.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.