Race 5B

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Eric Villadsen 9.2% 10.4% 11.7% 12.9% 14.8% 14.3% 14.6% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0%
Soren Walljasper 29.5% 25.5% 18.3% 12.2% 7.7% 4.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Etheridge 22.8% 21.5% 19.3% 15.4% 10.4% 6.8% 2.3% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Rosenthal 12.2% 14.9% 15.5% 16.5% 14.5% 12.7% 9.0% 3.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Mason Chrabaszcz 9.0% 9.4% 10.8% 14.4% 15.9% 14.4% 13.6% 8.3% 3.3% 0.9%
Michael Maas-Hull 6.6% 5.4% 7.7% 8.3% 10.7% 16.2% 16.9% 16.9% 9.1% 2.2%
David Millstein 0.9% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 3.2% 3.4% 8.1% 15.6% 27.0% 37.6%
Theodore Cohen 6.7% 8.8% 11.1% 11.6% 14.8% 16.3% 14.1% 10.6% 4.6% 1.4%
Lucas Kieffer 1.7% 1.4% 1.3% 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 9.3% 15.4% 28.2% 30.4%
Charles Koules 1.4% 1.5% 3.2% 3.2% 4.1% 6.9% 10.1% 19.7% 23.7% 26.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.