Race 6B

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Soren Walljasper 33.6% 22.2% 17.9% 11.9% 6.7% 4.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 8.9% 8.4% 12.3% 13.9% 13.4% 15.9% 13.0% 10.1% 3.3% 0.8%
Thomas Etheridge 22.5% 21.5% 19.3% 15.4% 10.9% 5.8% 3.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Eric Villadsen 7.1% 10.6% 11.7% 13.9% 16.5% 14.5% 13.5% 8.1% 3.6% 0.5%
Theodore Cohen 7.6% 9.2% 9.2% 11.1% 14.0% 16.6% 17.0% 9.1% 4.9% 1.3%
Michael Maas-Hull 6.2% 7.7% 6.2% 9.2% 10.8% 15.3% 16.2% 16.7% 9.3% 2.4%
Noah Rosenthal 10.7% 15.3% 15.9% 16.8% 15.1% 12.3% 8.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Charles Koules 1.1% 2.4% 2.8% 3.3% 5.2% 5.8% 10.7% 19.0% 26.1% 23.6%
David Millstein 1.2% 1.2% 2.2% 1.5% 3.5% 3.9% 7.1% 14.9% 24.7% 39.8%
Lucas Kieffer 1.1% 1.5% 2.5% 3.0% 3.9% 5.7% 7.9% 16.8% 26.3% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.