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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.11+1.61vs Predicted
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2Washington University0.67+3.19vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.84+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.84+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.85-2.03vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-0.83+1.84vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.32-1.12vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.24-3.94vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-0.99-0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.19-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of Wisconsin2.110.3%1st Place
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5.19Washington University0.670.1%1st Place
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4.94Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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2.97University of Michigan1.850.3%1st Place
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7.84Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Notre Dame0.320.0%1st Place
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4.06Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Chicago-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Walljasper | 32.1% | 26.1% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Theodore Cohen | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Eric Villadsen | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 25.2% | 21.3% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Koules | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 19.3% | 27.4% | 23.0% |
| Michael Maas-Hull | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 8.3% | 2.5% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 12.3% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 18.0% | 25.8% | 31.1% |
| David Millstein | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 25.2% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.