Race 8B

mcsa-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Soren Walljasper 31.1% 25.5% 16.8% 12.0% 7.8% 3.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Mason Chrabaszcz 8.8% 8.9% 12.2% 14.6% 14.0% 14.6% 12.2% 10.2% 3.6% 0.9%
Theodore Cohen 7.8% 8.1% 9.3% 11.2% 13.5% 16.6% 17.1% 10.6% 5.1% 0.7%
Eric Villadsen 7.8% 9.9% 13.2% 11.8% 15.7% 16.3% 12.3% 9.5% 2.9% 0.6%
Noah Rosenthal 13.6% 13.4% 15.9% 16.3% 15.2% 11.5% 7.8% 4.6% 1.5% 0.2%
Thomas Etheridge 23.0% 24.0% 18.2% 14.7% 10.3% 6.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Michael Maas-Hull 4.5% 5.7% 7.1% 10.3% 11.8% 15.2% 18.6% 14.9% 9.3% 2.6%
Charles Koules 1.3% 1.9% 3.3% 3.3% 4.8% 6.4% 10.1% 19.4% 25.8% 23.7%
David Millstein 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 2.3% 3.3% 4.2% 7.5% 13.8% 25.1% 39.8%
Lucas Kieffer 1.1% 1.4% 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 5.3% 9.4% 15.9% 26.2% 31.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.