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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.94vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College-0.13+11.48vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.50vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+4.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+1.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.55-1.57vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10+1.08vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+1.15vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-2.96vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.71-3.11vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.48+0.24vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-2.30vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-4.57vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.22+1.54vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.13-6.06vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.47vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.99-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Roger Williams University1.977.8%1st Place
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13.48Connecticut College-0.131.6%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.7%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University1.224.3%1st Place
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6.69Brown University1.998.9%1st Place
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4.43Yale University2.5518.6%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University2.105.2%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University1.154.2%1st Place
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6.04Boston College2.0910.6%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College1.717.9%1st Place
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11.24University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.5%1st Place
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8.43Boston University1.145.2%1st Place
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15.54Middlebury College-1.220.7%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College1.135.1%1st Place
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12.53Maine Maritime Academy0.151.8%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island0.993.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 26.8% | 18.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.6% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 4.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 14.8% | 61.6% |
| Rebecca Schill | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 9.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.