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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.15+7.74vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.40vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+3.72vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.80vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+2.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+0.71vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.15+4.99vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+1.36vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22-0.56vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.37+2.06vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.71-4.24vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-5.78vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.13-4.22vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-4.65vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-1.55vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-5.11vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.22-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74Tufts University1.154.4%1st Place
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4.4Yale University2.5517.8%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University1.978.2%1st Place
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5.8Boston College2.0910.7%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University2.106.3%1st Place
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6.71Brown University1.998.9%1st Place
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11.99Maine Maritime Academy0.151.5%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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8.44Northeastern University1.225.4%1st Place
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12.06Boston University0.371.6%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College1.718.8%1st Place
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6.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.2%1st Place
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8.78Bowdoin College1.134.2%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.2%1st Place
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13.45Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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15.36Middlebury College-1.220.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.8% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 7.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 8.1% |
| bella casaretto | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 25.4% | 17.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 15.0% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.