Race 1A

bc-central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jack Bitney 28.0% 24.3% 18.5% 14.5% 8.5% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 7.3% 9.4% 13.0% 18.1% 18.6% 18.0% 10.2% 5.0% 0.4%
Jacob Martz 21.9% 20.7% 19.8% 14.1% 13.1% 7.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 23.5% 20.2% 19.5% 15.9% 12.3% 5.6% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Chris Colbeth 6.4% 9.5% 10.9% 13.7% 13.9% 22.1% 15.8% 6.6% 1.1%
Jade Forsberg 2.1% 1.9% 3.3% 4.7% 6.4% 11.2% 29.1% 32.0% 9.3%
Vincent Yannelli 8.5% 11.7% 11.6% 14.6% 20.6% 18.5% 10.8% 3.3% 0.4%
Kelsey Martins 2.0% 1.6% 2.4% 3.6% 4.9% 9.2% 23.2% 38.0% 15.1%
Noah Stern 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.7% 2.8% 4.9% 14.1% 73.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.