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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.56+2.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.81+2.52vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82-0.24vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.42+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.99vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.59-3.99vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.77-3.55vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.24-2.22vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Rhode Island2.560.2%1st Place
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4.52Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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2.76Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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4.92Northeastern University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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3.01Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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6.78Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gibbs | 21.3% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Bitney | 28.5% | 22.9% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chris Colbeth | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 22.2% | 16.5% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 20.5% | 35.1% | 15.5% |
| Jacob Martz | 22.6% | 23.0% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Jade Forsberg | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 25.4% | 34.1% | 10.5% |
| Noah Stern | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 6.5% | 15.1% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.