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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+1.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.81+2.53vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.56-0.86vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.42-0.11vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.59-2.98vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College0.24-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.77-3.59vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-1.91vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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4.53Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.14University of Rhode Island2.560.2%1st Place
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4.89Northeastern University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.02Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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6.75Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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4.41University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.44University of New Hampshire-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 27.8% | 24.5% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 6.9% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 21.3% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Colbeth | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 25.5% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Martz | 23.3% | 23.1% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 28.7% | 32.0% | 9.4% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 9.4% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 22.4% | 38.5% | 15.2% |
| Noah Stern | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 14.3% | 73.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.