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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jack Bitney 27.8% 24.5% 16.5% 17.9% 6.9% 4.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Pierre DuPont 6.9% 8.8% 15.3% 17.0% 19.3% 16.2% 11.5% 4.7% 0.3%
Matthew Gibbs 21.3% 20.0% 20.4% 14.4% 13.2% 7.4% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Chris Colbeth 6.7% 8.8% 10.6% 12.6% 14.9% 25.5% 13.1% 6.6% 1.2%
Jacob Martz 23.3% 23.1% 17.5% 14.1% 11.8% 7.0% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Jade Forsberg 2.3% 2.1% 3.6% 4.0% 6.9% 11.0% 28.7% 32.0% 9.4%
Vincent Yannelli 9.4% 10.5% 12.5% 16.3% 19.1% 17.2% 11.5% 3.1% 0.4%
Kelsey Martins 1.9% 1.6% 2.7% 3.0% 5.8% 8.9% 22.4% 38.5% 15.2%
Noah Stern 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 2.1% 2.1% 5.4% 14.3% 73.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.