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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.42+4.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+0.88vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.81+1.37vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.59-2.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.56-2.95vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01+0.12vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.24-1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.77-4.66vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Northeastern University1.420.1%1st Place
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2.88Tufts University2.820.2%1st Place
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4.37Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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3.0Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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3.05University of Rhode Island2.560.2%1st Place
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7.12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.78Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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4.34University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Colbeth | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 23.4% | 17.1% | 7.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 22.5% | 24.1% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pierre DuPont | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 19.5% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Martz | 22.3% | 22.5% | 20.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 24.7% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 21.5% | 39.7% | 15.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 28.1% | 32.0% | 10.2% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Noah Stern | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.