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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.77+2.60vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.81+1.39vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.42+0.88vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.59-2.98vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.56-3.93vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.01-0.86vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.24-2.27vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.41-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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4.6University of Vermont1.770.1%1st Place
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4.39Tufts University1.810.1%1st Place
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4.88Northeastern University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.02Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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3.07University of Rhode Island2.560.2%1st Place
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7.14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.010.0%1st Place
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6.73Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 28.6% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 6.4% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Pierre DuPont | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Chris Colbeth | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 22.8% | 15.7% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Martz | 24.0% | 22.4% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 21.5% | 21.2% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Martins | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.8% | 20.3% | 41.9% | 14.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 28.2% | 30.6% | 10.6% |
| Noah Stern | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.