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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+1.01vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.16+0.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.50+0.22vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.61-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.99-0.93vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.68+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.81vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-2.29-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Tufts University3.140.5%1st Place
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3.46Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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3.3University of Rhode Island2.160.2%1st Place
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4.22Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
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4.02Northeastern University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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7.2Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.54University of New Hampshire-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 45.7% | 25.7% | 16.3% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 11.7% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 16.5% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 9.1% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 21.9% | 17.8% | 7.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matteo Alampi | 9.8% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Arthur Milot | 4.9% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 30.4% | 16.1% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexie Lessing | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 30.0% | 40.6% | 11.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 30.1% | 38.1% | 12.6% |
| Madison Joslin | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.