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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+1.00vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.16+1.42vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.61+1.15vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.50+0.21vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.13-1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.99-0.97vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.75vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.68-1.85vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-2.29-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Tufts University3.140.5%1st Place
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3.42University of Rhode Island2.160.1%1st Place
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4.15Northeastern University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.21Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.24Boston College2.130.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.15Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.55University of New Hampshire-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 46.2% | 25.4% | 15.7% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 12.0% | 20.0% | 21.9% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 8.1% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 19.9% | 18.2% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jake Rizika | 17.3% | 23.6% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Milot | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 28.9% | 15.6% | 4.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 28.8% | 41.8% | 11.9% |
| Alexie Lessing | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 31.4% | 36.9% | 12.1% |
| Madison Joslin | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 6.5% | 13.5% | 75.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.