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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.31vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+5.94vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.71+3.79vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.09+1.72vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.15+7.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+0.78vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.15+1.78vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+0.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97-2.41vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+0.78vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-1.57vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-5.75vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-1.14vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.13-5.23vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-1.46vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.22-0.53vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.99-7.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.31Yale University2.5517.5%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University2.106.4%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College1.717.5%1st Place
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5.72Boston College2.0911.1%1st Place
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12.2Maine Maritime Academy0.151.4%1st Place
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6.78Brown University1.998.3%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University1.155.1%1st Place
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8.54Northeastern University1.225.3%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University1.978.6%1st Place
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10.78University of Vermont0.483.2%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.2%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.5%1st Place
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11.86Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College1.134.5%1st Place
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13.54Connecticut College-0.130.8%1st Place
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15.47Middlebury College-1.220.7%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 17.5% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 7.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 3.2% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 7.0% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 23.4% | 19.0% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 59.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.