Race 2B

troy-swetman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Coleman Terrell 32.0% 22.6% 17.6% 12.8% 7.3% 4.8% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Caleb Cunningham 21.5% 22.2% 17.0% 15.5% 11.5% 7.4% 3.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Mary Duncan 18.2% 18.3% 19.5% 16.5% 11.6% 9.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Kirk 4.1% 7.5% 9.0% 11.3% 12.6% 15.8% 17.2% 13.6% 7.2% 1.7%
Stuart Conrad 7.5% 8.0% 10.0% 10.6% 13.6% 16.9% 16.5% 10.1% 5.4% 1.4%
Christopher Foster 6.7% 6.9% 6.8% 10.3% 13.7% 13.6% 16.2% 15.1% 8.4% 2.3%
Ryan Carden 6.1% 8.8% 10.4% 13.5% 15.5% 15.1% 14.2% 10.9% 4.6% 0.9%
Patricia Boston 0.4% 0.7% 1.4% 1.8% 2.1% 3.4% 4.9% 9.1% 23.9% 52.3%
Caitlin Bezecny 1.2% 0.9% 2.3% 1.9% 3.0% 3.5% 7.4% 12.6% 32.2% 35.0%
Aly Gazzola 2.3% 4.1% 6.0% 5.8% 9.1% 9.9% 13.9% 24.7% 17.8% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.