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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.13+2.31vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.14+0.11vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.61+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.16-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+2.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.50-1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.99-1.90vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.68-0.83vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-2.29-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Boston College2.130.2%1st Place
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2.11Tufts University3.140.4%1st Place
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4.16Northeastern University1.610.1%1st Place
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3.19University of Rhode Island2.160.2%1st Place
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7.18University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.23Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Vermont0.990.1%1st Place
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7.17Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.54University of New Hampshire-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Rizika | 16.5% | 20.1% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 40.8% | 28.2% | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 8.8% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Rush | 17.1% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 28.2% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 9.5% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 19.4% | 7.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Arthur Milot | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 27.8% | 17.8% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexie Lessing | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 29.0% | 40.0% | 11.4% |
| Madison Joslin | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 6.2% | 15.0% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.