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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.16+2.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.50+2.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.14-0.99vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+3.13vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.61-0.95vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.13-2.73vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.68+0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.99-3.95vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-2.29-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of Rhode Island2.160.2%1st Place
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4.43Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
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2.01Tufts University3.140.4%1st Place
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7.13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.05Northeastern University1.610.1%1st Place
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3.27Boston College2.130.2%1st Place
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7.21Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.05University of Vermont0.990.1%1st Place
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8.54University of New Hampshire-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Rush | 16.5% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 21.2% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 6.0% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 22.1% | 21.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 44.0% | 26.9% | 17.2% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 29.4% | 39.0% | 10.4% |
| Matteo Alampi | 10.2% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jake Rizika | 15.6% | 21.1% | 22.2% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 29.2% | 38.5% | 12.7% |
| Arthur Milot | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 26.8% | 16.2% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Madison Joslin | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.