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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+1.02vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.16+0.32vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.61+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.99-0.06vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.50-1.71vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.25vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.68-0.85vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-2.29-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Tufts University3.140.4%1st Place
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3.48Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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3.32University of Rhode Island2.160.2%1st Place
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4.03Northeastern University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Vermont0.990.0%1st Place
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4.29Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.15Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.54University of New Hampshire-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 44.8% | 27.1% | 15.6% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Rizika | 12.2% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 15.0% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 16.7% | 18.6% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 8.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matteo Alampi | 10.3% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 16.8% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Arthur Milot | 4.9% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 27.5% | 13.3% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 29.3% | 41.7% | 11.9% |
| Alexie Lessing | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 32.6% | 36.7% | 12.0% |
| Madison Joslin | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 75.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.