Race 2A

leroy-grant

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Maximilian Kuester 22.4% 19.0% 15.1% 13.9% 8.4% 6.2% 5.8% 4.1% 2.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 14.1% 14.2% 12.0% 11.3% 11.2% 9.8% 7.1% 6.7% 5.5% 3.2% 2.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Siegel 12.2% 10.6% 11.2% 10.8% 12.6% 9.9% 10.6% 6.3% 6.7% 3.6% 2.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Pardini 4.0% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 6.4% 5.0% 8.4% 8.0% 9.9% 7.7% 8.1% 9.1% 8.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.5%
Joshua Prucnal 8.3% 9.3% 9.1% 10.1% 10.2% 10.9% 8.8% 7.4% 9.1% 6.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Austin Powers 8.2% 9.0% 11.3% 9.6% 10.1% 9.2% 9.9% 7.5% 6.1% 7.0% 4.5% 4.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Julian Fraize 5.0% 5.4% 4.0% 5.0% 4.7% 6.0% 6.0% 8.1% 8.6% 10.1% 9.8% 8.2% 8.9% 6.0% 3.6% 0.6%
Trevor Koerwer 4.2% 6.0% 5.4% 6.0% 6.5% 8.8% 7.5% 7.6% 7.8% 9.1% 9.7% 8.3% 6.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.3%
Jonah Burke-Kleinman 2.0% 2.3% 2.7% 2.3% 2.7% 3.5% 3.3% 4.4% 5.3% 7.8% 8.4% 11.0% 11.9% 13.7% 12.4% 6.3%
Dante Iozzo 3.1% 2.5% 4.2% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 5.0% 6.1% 6.1% 9.7% 8.8% 12.7% 11.4% 11.8% 5.8% 2.1%
Chris Anderson 1.9% 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 3.9% 3.5% 3.5% 6.1% 7.4% 10.7% 16.9% 20.3% 14.8%
John Shanahan 3.8% 4.1% 4.7% 4.7% 6.6% 6.1% 7.2% 8.6% 6.9% 9.2% 7.9% 9.7% 9.8% 5.0% 4.7% 1.0%
Paolo Bertolotti 4.0% 4.8% 5.3% 5.9% 6.4% 7.9% 7.2% 8.6% 9.5% 7.7% 10.4% 6.9% 6.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Nicholas Price 5.5% 4.8% 6.5% 7.9% 7.1% 8.5% 8.5% 8.4% 8.9% 8.8% 8.9% 5.8% 5.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Haley Clemson 1.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 2.5% 2.0% 3.2% 5.5% 5.2% 9.7% 14.1% 24.7% 24.6%
Amanda Nuse 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.8% 1.8% 1.3% 2.0% 3.3% 4.0% 5.2% 9.9% 19.4% 49.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.