← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Queen's University0.63+9.82vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University2.21+3.88vs Predicted
-
3Washington College2.45+2.17vs Predicted
-
4Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+4.69vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University1.47+3.33vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University1.53+2.24vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University3.02-3.21vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland2.18-2.10vs Predicted
-
9Penn State University1.35-0.31vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook2.59-5.08vs Predicted
-
11Syracuse University1.49-2.75vs Predicted
-
12University of Buffalo1.00-2.14vs Predicted
-
13Virginia Tech1.65-5.35vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University-0.16-0.99vs Predicted
-
15William and Mary0.15-2.50vs Predicted
-
16Monmouth University-0.72-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.82Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
-
5.88Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
-
5.17Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
-
8.69Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
-
8.33Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
-
8.24Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
-
3.79Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
-
5.9University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
-
8.69Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
-
4.92SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
-
8.25Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
-
9.86University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
-
7.65Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
-
13.01Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
12.5William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
-
14.29Monmouth University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 4.9% |
| Austin Powers | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 13.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Julian Fraize | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 21.8% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Shanahan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 13.2% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Dante Iozzo | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 21.5% | 23.8% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 21.2% | 16.0% |
| Amanda Nuse | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 20.1% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.