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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+6.94vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+3.71vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.18vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.29vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.97+1.75vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.13+2.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99-0.49vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy0.15+4.08vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22-0.51vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.71-3.29vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-1.42vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-2.66vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College-0.13+0.41vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-2.04vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.15-6.17vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-4.94vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.22-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94Harvard University2.106.2%1st Place
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5.71Boston College2.0911.5%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.7%1st Place
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4.29Yale University2.5516.6%1st Place
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6.75Roger Williams University1.978.6%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College1.134.3%1st Place
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6.51Brown University1.999.2%1st Place
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12.08Maine Maritime Academy0.151.5%1st Place
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8.49Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College1.718.2%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.8%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island0.993.1%1st Place
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13.41Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
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11.96Boston University0.371.9%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University1.154.8%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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15.36Middlebury College-1.220.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.6% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 7.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| bella casaretto | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 24.6% | 18.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 7.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 15.8% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.