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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+4.84vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland2.18+3.96vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+0.70vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.53+4.23vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo1.00+4.80vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.63+5.01vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.47+1.39vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.65-0.40vs Predicted
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9Penn State University1.35-0.36vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45-4.80vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook2.59-6.19vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.15+0.21vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-4.53vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University1.49-5.89vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-0.16-1.92vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-1.24-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.96University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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3.7Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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8.23Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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11.01Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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8.39Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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7.6Virginia Tech1.650.1%1st Place
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8.64Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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5.2Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.81SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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12.21William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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8.47Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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8.11Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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13.08Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.94Monmouth University-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 21.7% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Dante Iozzo | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 4.5% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Price | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| John Shanahan | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 12.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 10.9% |
| Julian Fraize | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 16.8% | 31.0% | 16.7% |
| Giuseppe Licata | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 15.2% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.