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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+4.83vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+1.74vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.45+2.17vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.65+3.82vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.53+3.14vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.47+2.36vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland2.18-0.90vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University1.49+0.02vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook2.59-4.21vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-1.46vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.63-0.08vs Predicted
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12Penn State University1.35-3.34vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.16-0.05vs Predicted
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14William and Mary0.15-1.84vs Predicted
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15University of Buffalo1.00-5.11vs Predicted
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16Monmouth University-1.24-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Christopher Newport University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.74Hampton University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.17Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.82Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
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8.14Villanova University1.530.0%1st Place
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8.36Columbia University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Maryland2.180.1%1st Place
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8.02Syracuse University1.490.0%1st Place
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4.79SUNY Stony Brook2.590.1%1st Place
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8.54Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.0%1st Place
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10.92Queen's University0.630.0%1st Place
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8.66Penn State University1.350.0%1st Place
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12.95Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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12.16William and Mary0.150.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Buffalo1.000.0%1st Place
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14.93Monmouth University-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 22.1% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Koerwer | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Prucnal | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Burke-Kleinman | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 4.3% |
| John Shanahan | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 28.0% | 16.8% |
| Chris Anderson | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 21.5% | 9.8% |
| Dante Iozzo | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Giuseppe Licata | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 15.8% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.