Race 10A

leroy-grant

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Austin Powers 10.0% 9.8% 9.0% 11.7% 8.2% 10.5% 7.8% 8.0% 7.2% 5.3% 6.2% 3.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 21.2% 18.2% 15.0% 11.4% 9.6% 7.4% 6.7% 4.4% 2.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Vidar Minkovsky 14.4% 12.9% 12.1% 10.7% 12.3% 9.0% 9.2% 7.1% 4.2% 3.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Price 4.0% 5.8% 6.6% 7.0% 5.9% 6.6% 7.7% 7.5% 9.6% 10.0% 8.8% 8.3% 6.6% 4.2% 1.1% 0.3%
Nicholas Pardini 4.4% 4.0% 4.9% 5.7% 5.6% 8.3% 7.4% 8.6% 8.4% 9.0% 8.7% 8.0% 8.8% 6.1% 2.0% 0.1%
Trevor Koerwer 4.1% 3.3% 5.5% 7.3% 7.5% 8.5% 6.5% 7.1% 7.2% 8.8% 10.0% 8.4% 8.2% 5.7% 1.7% 0.2%
Matthew Roleke 6.0% 7.1% 7.2% 6.1% 5.8% 7.7% 8.6% 9.2% 8.9% 7.3% 8.3% 8.3% 5.0% 3.0% 1.4% 0.1%
Joshua Prucnal 9.4% 10.4% 9.1% 9.3% 9.5% 10.1% 9.0% 8.1% 8.0% 6.2% 4.5% 3.4% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Eric Siegel 12.6% 12.0% 11.3% 8.6% 12.2% 9.9% 9.2% 6.7% 5.6% 4.9% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Chris Anderson 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 2.0% 3.0% 4.7% 4.8% 7.4% 12.2% 21.7% 21.5% 10.1%
Haley Clemson 1.4% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 3.5% 4.1% 6.8% 9.4% 15.3% 29.2% 16.5%
Jonah Burke-Kleinman 1.3% 2.7% 2.7% 1.6% 4.2% 3.0% 3.2% 5.1% 6.0% 6.1% 8.8% 10.3% 12.3% 14.8% 14.0% 3.9%
John Shanahan 2.9% 3.8% 5.2% 7.0% 5.6% 5.9% 6.1% 8.2% 8.5% 9.1% 9.9% 8.2% 9.6% 5.8% 3.6% 0.6%
Dante Iozzo 2.9% 2.9% 3.0% 3.7% 4.2% 3.8% 6.3% 6.6% 7.3% 8.8% 9.6% 10.7% 11.9% 10.8% 6.2% 1.3%
Giuseppe Licata 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 3.2% 5.8% 15.0% 66.3%
Paolo Bertolotti 3.9% 4.0% 5.0% 6.2% 5.7% 5.6% 7.2% 8.4% 9.4% 9.5% 9.3% 10.6% 6.9% 4.7% 3.0% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.