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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.87+6.46vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+4.51vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.65+2.09vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.06+2.92vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.63+0.31vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.42+5.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy0.51+1.70vs Predicted
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8Hampton University2.26-4.30vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.06+1.37vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.71-4.96vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.39-1.90vs Predicted
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12Villanova University1.08-4.86vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo0.75-4.79vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-2.53vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.57-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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6.51Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.09Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.92Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.31Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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11.39Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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3.7Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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10.37Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.04Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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9.1Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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7.14Villanova University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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11.47Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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13.59Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mazzeo | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Adam DeVita | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Smith | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 12.8% |
| Michael Danko | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 20.3% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 5.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% |
| Harrison Paige | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Rory Mess | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 21.6% | 15.0% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.