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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+2.61vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.06+4.79vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.71+1.95vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.65+1.20vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.76vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo0.75+1.98vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.39+2.01vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.06+2.39vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.63-3.86vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.42+1.39vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.51-2.25vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.46-0.25vs Predicted
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13Villanova University1.08-5.87vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.57-0.39vs Predicted
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15William and Mary0.87-7.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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6.79Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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4.95Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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5.2Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.76Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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9.01Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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10.39Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.14Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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11.39Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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11.75Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.13Villanova University1.080.1%1st Place
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13.61Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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7.52William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 23.3% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Rory Mess | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Victoria Restivo | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 6.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 12.6% |
| Michael Danko | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 23.8% | 16.1% |
| Harrison Paige | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 58.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.