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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+2.62vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+5.40vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+3.70vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+6.41vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.82-0.17vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.63-0.72vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University1.06-0.14vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.08-1.12vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.46+2.52vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-4.73vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy0.51-2.23vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.42-0.39vs Predicted
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13University of Buffalo0.75-4.79vs Predicted
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14Queen's University0.39-4.96vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-1.57-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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7.4William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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6.7Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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10.41Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.83Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.28Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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6.86Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.88Villanova University1.080.1%1st Place
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11.52Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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5.27Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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11.61Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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9.04Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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13.61Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 21.8% | 21.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 7.5% |
| Anders Hudson | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Paige | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 22.2% | 13.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 16.8% | 23.3% | 13.4% |
| Rory Mess | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Victoria Restivo | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 16.0% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.