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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.82+3.68vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+1.56vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.87+4.49vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.06+3.01vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.63+0.40vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.08+1.00vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo0.75-0.07vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.65-3.85vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy0.51-1.18vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.06-0.61vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.39-2.70vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.42-1.49vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.57-0.36vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.46-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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3.56Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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7.49William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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7.01Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.4Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
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7.0Villanova University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.69Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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5.15Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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10.39Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.3Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.51Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.64Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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11.43Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Hudson | 14.7% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 23.8% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Barrie Joanna | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Paige | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Rory Mess | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Adam DeVita | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Danko | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 6.2% |
| Victoria Restivo | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Abigail Proko | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 21.4% | 14.1% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 16.3% | 58.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 23.5% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.