← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University2.26+2.63vs Predicted
-
2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+4.65vs Predicted
-
3Washington College1.63+2.19vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University0.39+5.08vs Predicted
-
5Villanova University1.08+2.03vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University1.65-0.82vs Predicted
-
7University of Buffalo0.75+0.95vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University1.06-1.02vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.71-3.95vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Military Academy0.51-1.15vs Predicted
-
11Virginia Tech-0.06-0.52vs Predicted
-
12William and Mary0.87-4.16vs Predicted
-
13Drexel University-0.19-2.07vs Predicted
-
14Penn State University-1.57-0.35vs Predicted
-
15Monmouth University-0.46-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.63Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
-
6.65Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
5.19Washington College1.630.1%1st Place
-
9.08Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
-
7.03Villanova University1.080.1%1st Place
-
5.18Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
-
7.95University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
-
6.98Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
-
5.05Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
-
8.85U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
-
10.48Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.84William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
-
10.93Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
-
13.65Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
-
11.52Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 23.1% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Restivo | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Harrison Paige | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Barrie Joanna | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Attardi | 11.9% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Danko | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 7.2% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Barrett Adams | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 9.8% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 15.8% | 59.5% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 25.1% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.