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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.68vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.71+4.90vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.37vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.26vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.99+1.61vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10+1.98vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.15+5.15vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+0.70vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-3.36vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.22-1.52vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37+0.79vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.13-3.07vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-3.61vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.99-4.74vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.22+0.46vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-5.11vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College-0.13-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Roger Williams University1.978.2%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College1.717.8%1st Place
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4.37Yale University2.5517.7%1st Place
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6.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.2%1st Place
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6.61Brown University1.998.8%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University2.106.3%1st Place
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12.15Maine Maritime Academy0.152.2%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University1.153.9%1st Place
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5.64Boston College2.0911.2%1st Place
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8.48Northeastern University1.225.0%1st Place
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11.79Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College1.134.3%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.6%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island0.995.1%1st Place
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15.46Middlebury College-1.220.2%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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13.51Connecticut College-0.130.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.7% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jane Marvin | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 8.3% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 7.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Helen Coughlin | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 59.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 25.0% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.