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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.71+3.88vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+1.45vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.08+3.73vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.65+1.07vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.06+1.87vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.87+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Buffalo0.75+0.46vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.50vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.52-3.49vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.39-1.14vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.46+0.05vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.06-1.95vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-1.57-0.20vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy0.51-5.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.45Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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6.73Villanova University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.07Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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6.87Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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7.43William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Buffalo0.750.1%1st Place
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6.5Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.51Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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8.86Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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11.05Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.05Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.8Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Attardi | 13.0% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 23.4% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Paige | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Adam DeVita | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Rory Mess | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Restivo | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 3.6% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 27.8% | 17.5% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 9.8% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 15.2% | 63.3% |
| Michael Danko | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.