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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.71+3.88vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.06+4.56vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.52+2.38vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26-0.41vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+1.69vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.08+0.86vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.06+2.73vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.87-0.71vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.65-3.87vs Predicted
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10University of Buffalo0.75-2.18vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.39-2.15vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy0.51-3.55vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.46-2.09vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.57-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.56Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.38Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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3.59Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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6.69Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.86Villanova University1.080.1%1st Place
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9.73Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.29William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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5.13Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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8.85Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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10.91Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.87Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Attardi | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrie Joanna | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 22.3% | 19.8% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Harrison Paige | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 18.3% | 7.6% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Adam DeVita | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rory Mess | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Victoria Restivo | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 3.8% |
| Michael Danko | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 2.8% |
| Veronica Lane | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 17.1% | 26.4% | 16.2% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.